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On a Weibull-Distributed Error Component of a Multiplicative Error Model Under Inverse Square Root Transformation

Received: 9 September 2021    Accepted: 28 September 2021    Published: 12 October 2021
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Abstract

We first consider the Multiplicative Error Model (MEM) introduced in financial econometrics by Engle (2002) as a general class of time series model for positive-valued random variables, which are decomposed into the product of their conditional mean and a positive-valued error term. Considering the possibility that the error component of a MEM can be a Weibull distribution and the need for data transformation as a popular remedial measure to stabilize the variance of a data set prior to statistical modeling, this paper investigates the impact of the inverse square root transformation (ISRT) on the mean and variance of a Weibull-distributed error component of a MEM. The mean and variance of the Weibull distribution and those of the inverse square root transformed distribution are calculated for σ=6, 7,.., 99, 100 with the corresponding values of n for which the mean of the untransformed distribution is equal to one. The paper concludes that the inverse square root would yield better results when using MEM with a Weibull-distributed error component and where data transformation is deemed necessary to stabilize the variance of the data set.

Published in International Journal of Data Science and Analysis (Volume 7, Issue 4)
DOI 10.11648/j.ijdsa.20210704.12
Page(s) 109-116
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Multiplicative Error Model, Error Component, Weibull Distribution, Inverse Square Root Transformation, Remedial Measure

References
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[2] Bandi, F. M. and Russell, J. R. (2006). Separating microstructure noise from volatility. Journal of Financial Economics, 79, 655-692.
[3] Box, G. E. P. and Cox, D. R (1964). An Analysis of Transformation. Journal of Royal Statistical Society. B-26, 211-243.
[4] Brownlees C. T, Cipollini F., and Gallo G. M. (2012). Handbook of volatility and their applications, First ed. John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
[5] Engle R. F and Russell J. R. (1998). Autoregressive Conditional Duration: A New Model for Irregularly Spaced Transaction Data, Econometrica, Vol. 66, issue 5, 1127-1162.
[6] Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50, 987–1007.
[7] Engle, R. F. (2002). Dynamic Conditional Correlation: A Simple Class of Multivariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity Models, Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 20, 339-350. https://doi.org/10.1198/073500102288618487.
[8] Horst, R (2008). Related distributions from: The Weibull Distribution, A handbook CRC Presss. Accessed on: 12 Jul 2019. https://www.routledgehandbooks.com/doi/10.1201/9781420087444.ch3.
[9] Meyer, P. L. (1974). Introductory Probability and Statistical Applications. Addison Wesley Publishing Inc. London.
[10] Montgomery, D. C (2001). Design and Analysis of Experiments, 5th ed. Wiley and Sons NY.
[11] Murthy, D. N. P (2004). Weibull Models. Wiley Series. NJ.
[12] Nwosu, C. R, Iwueze, I. S, Ohakwe, J (2013). Condition for successful inverse transformation of the error component of the multiplicative time series model. Asian Journal of Applied Sciences,: 6 (1): 1–15. DOI: 10.3923/ajaps.2013. 1-15.
[13] Ohakwe, J and Ajibade F. B. (2019). The Impact of Power Transformations on the Parameters of the Gamma Distributed Error Component of a Multiplicative Error Model. Benin Journal of Statistics, Vol. 2. Pp. 16-32.
[14] Ohakwe, J and Chikezie, D. C. (2014). Power Transformations and Unit Mean and Constant Variance Assumptions of the Multiplicative Error Model: The Generalized Gamma Distribution. British Journal of Mathematics and Computer Science 4 (2) 288-306.
[15] Ohakwe J, Dike O. A. and Akpanta A. C. (2012). The Implication of Square Root Transformation on a Gamma Distributed Error Component of a Multiplicative Time Series model, Proceedings of African Regional Conference on Sustainable Development, University of Calabar, Nigeria, 2012, Vol. 6, Issue 4, pp. 65–78.
[16] Ohakwe, J. (2013). The Effect of Inverse Transformation on the Unit Mean and Constant Variance Assumptions of a Multiplicative Error Model whose error Component has a Gamma Distribution. Math’l Modeling Vol. 3, No. 3 pp 44-52.
[17] Okorie, I. E., Akpanta, A. C., Ohakwe, J., and Chikezie, D. C. (2017). The Adjusted Fisk Weibull Distribution: Properties and Applications. International Journal of Modeling and Simulation https://doi.org/10.1080/02286203.2017.1370770.
[18] Onyemachi, C. U. (2021). Assessing the Impact of Square Root Transformation on Weibull-Distributed Error Component of a Multiplicative Model. Science Journal of Applied Mathematics and Statistics. Vol. 9, No. 4, 2021, pp. 94-105.
[19] Otuonye, E. L., Iwueze, I. S and Ohakwe, J. (2011). The effect of square root transformation on the error component of the multiplicative time series model. International Journal of Statistics and Systems. Vol. 6, No. 4 pp 461-476.
[20] Ozdemir, O. (2017). Power Transformations for Families of Statistical Distributions to satisfy Normality. International Journal of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 5, pp. 1–4.
[21] Ramachandran K. M. and Tsokos C. P. (2009). Mathematical Statistics with Applications, pp. 156–159. Published by Academic Press.
[22] Taylor, S. J. (1982). Financial Returns modeled by the product of two stochastic processes – a study of daily sugar prices. In: Time Series Analysis: Theory and Practice (O. D. Anderson, Ed.) North-Holland, Amsterdam.
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  • APA Style

    Chris Uchechi Onyemachi, Sidney Ifeanyi Onyeagu, Samuel Ademola Phillips, Jamiu Adebowale Oke, Callistus Ezekwe Ugwo. (2021). On a Weibull-Distributed Error Component of a Multiplicative Error Model Under Inverse Square Root Transformation. International Journal of Data Science and Analysis, 7(4), 109-116. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijdsa.20210704.12

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    ACS Style

    Chris Uchechi Onyemachi; Sidney Ifeanyi Onyeagu; Samuel Ademola Phillips; Jamiu Adebowale Oke; Callistus Ezekwe Ugwo. On a Weibull-Distributed Error Component of a Multiplicative Error Model Under Inverse Square Root Transformation. Int. J. Data Sci. Anal. 2021, 7(4), 109-116. doi: 10.11648/j.ijdsa.20210704.12

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    AMA Style

    Chris Uchechi Onyemachi, Sidney Ifeanyi Onyeagu, Samuel Ademola Phillips, Jamiu Adebowale Oke, Callistus Ezekwe Ugwo. On a Weibull-Distributed Error Component of a Multiplicative Error Model Under Inverse Square Root Transformation. Int J Data Sci Anal. 2021;7(4):109-116. doi: 10.11648/j.ijdsa.20210704.12

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  • @article{10.11648/j.ijdsa.20210704.12,
      author = {Chris Uchechi Onyemachi and Sidney Ifeanyi Onyeagu and Samuel Ademola Phillips and Jamiu Adebowale Oke and Callistus Ezekwe Ugwo},
      title = {On a Weibull-Distributed Error Component of a Multiplicative Error Model Under Inverse Square Root Transformation},
      journal = {International Journal of Data Science and Analysis},
      volume = {7},
      number = {4},
      pages = {109-116},
      doi = {10.11648/j.ijdsa.20210704.12},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijdsa.20210704.12},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ijdsa.20210704.12},
      abstract = {We first consider the Multiplicative Error Model (MEM) introduced in financial econometrics by Engle (2002) as a general class of time series model for positive-valued random variables, which are decomposed into the product of their conditional mean and a positive-valued error term. Considering the possibility that the error component of a MEM can be a Weibull distribution and the need for data transformation as a popular remedial measure to stabilize the variance of a data set prior to statistical modeling, this paper investigates the impact of the inverse square root transformation (ISRT) on the mean and variance of a Weibull-distributed error component of a MEM. The mean and variance of the Weibull distribution and those of the inverse square root transformed distribution are calculated for σ=6, 7,.., 99, 100 with the corresponding values of n for which the mean of the untransformed distribution is equal to one. The paper concludes that the inverse square root would yield better results when using MEM with a Weibull-distributed error component and where data transformation is deemed necessary to stabilize the variance of the data set.},
     year = {2021}
    }
    

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  • TY  - JOUR
    T1  - On a Weibull-Distributed Error Component of a Multiplicative Error Model Under Inverse Square Root Transformation
    AU  - Chris Uchechi Onyemachi
    AU  - Sidney Ifeanyi Onyeagu
    AU  - Samuel Ademola Phillips
    AU  - Jamiu Adebowale Oke
    AU  - Callistus Ezekwe Ugwo
    Y1  - 2021/10/12
    PY  - 2021
    N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijdsa.20210704.12
    DO  - 10.11648/j.ijdsa.20210704.12
    T2  - International Journal of Data Science and Analysis
    JF  - International Journal of Data Science and Analysis
    JO  - International Journal of Data Science and Analysis
    SP  - 109
    EP  - 116
    PB  - Science Publishing Group
    SN  - 2575-1891
    UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijdsa.20210704.12
    AB  - We first consider the Multiplicative Error Model (MEM) introduced in financial econometrics by Engle (2002) as a general class of time series model for positive-valued random variables, which are decomposed into the product of their conditional mean and a positive-valued error term. Considering the possibility that the error component of a MEM can be a Weibull distribution and the need for data transformation as a popular remedial measure to stabilize the variance of a data set prior to statistical modeling, this paper investigates the impact of the inverse square root transformation (ISRT) on the mean and variance of a Weibull-distributed error component of a MEM. The mean and variance of the Weibull distribution and those of the inverse square root transformed distribution are calculated for σ=6, 7,.., 99, 100 with the corresponding values of n for which the mean of the untransformed distribution is equal to one. The paper concludes that the inverse square root would yield better results when using MEM with a Weibull-distributed error component and where data transformation is deemed necessary to stabilize the variance of the data set.
    VL  - 7
    IS  - 4
    ER  - 

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Author Information
  • Department of Statistics, Nnamdi Azikiwe University, Awka, Nigeria

  • Department of Statistics, Nnamdi Azikiwe University, Awka, Nigeria

  • Department of Statistics, Federal School of Statistics, School of Sciences, Ibadan, Nigeria

  • Department of Statistics, Federal School of Statistics, School of Sciences, Ibadan, Nigeria

  • Department of Statistics, Federal School of Statistics, School of Sciences, Enugu, Nigeria

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